UK Housing Market Forecast 2025: Is It a Good Time to Buy or Sell?
Posted By Anire Anita on Monday, January 11, 2021 11:01 AM
The UK housing market has emerged from the rollercoaster of the pandemic years into a landscape defined by higher mortgage rates and economic uncertainty. If you’re asking, “Is 2024 the right time to buy or sell a house?” you’re not alone.
Gone are the days of frenzied bidding wars and double-digit price growth. Instead, we’re in a period of correction and recalibration. While this might sound daunting, it also presents unique opportunities for savvy buyers and strategic sellers.
This comprehensive guide breaks down the latest data, expert predictions, and key factors you need to understand to navigate the UK property market in 2024 confidently.
The State of the Market: Prices, Sales, and Sentiment
After peaking in late 2022, UK house prices underwent a modest correction throughout much of 2023. According to major indices from Nationwide and Halifax, annual price growth has been slightly negative or flat, but the feared crash has largely been avoided.
Why? Three key reasons:
Strong Employment: A robust jobs market has meant fewer forced sales.
Limited Supply: The number of available properties remains low, providing a floor under prices.
Mortgage Affordability Tests: Post-2008 regulations ensured borrowers could withstand higher rates.
Transaction levels have cooled from their recent highs but are settling towards pre-pandemic norms. The market is now being driven by necessity and opportunity rather than speculation.
The 800-Pound Gorilla: When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down?
This is the question on everyone's lips. Mortgage rates skyrocketed in the wake of the 2022 mini-budget and subsequent Bank of England (BoE) base rate hikes to a 16-year high of 5.25%.
The Good News: As inflation has fallen significantly from its peak, the BoE is expected to begin cutting its base rate in 2024. This has already led to a price war among lenders, with major banks and building societies steadily reducing their fixed-rate mortgage offers. Many competitive 5-year fixed deals are now hovering below 4.5%.
What to Expect: While rates are unlikely to return to the ultra-low levels of the 2010s, the direction of travel is positive. For buyers, securing a mortgage is becoming gradually more affordable. For those coming off fixed-rate deals, shopping around is absolutely essential to avoid falling onto a costly Standard Variable Rate (SVR).
Regional Variations: A Tale of Two Markets
The phrase "UK housing market" is misleading—it's actually a collection of hundreds of local micro-markets. The North-South divide is still evident, but the story is more nuanced.
London & the Southeast: These regions saw the smallest price growth during the pandemic and are experiencing the slowest growth or slight declines now. Affordability remains a significant barrier.
The Midlands & North: Areas like Manchester, Birmingham, and Leeds continue to show resilience, supported by stronger affordability, inward investment, and major infrastructure projects like HS2 (in part).
Scotland & Wales: Markets here have also cooled but have generally held up better than parts of England, with popular rural and coastal areas remaining in demand.
Always base your decisions on hyper-local data from a trusted estate agent, not just national headlines.
Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House?
For the right buyer, absolutely yes.
The Advantages for Buyers:
More Choice: You have more properties to view and less competition from other buyers than in recent years.
Negotiating Power: The power balance has shifted. Buyers are in a stronger position to negotiate on price, especially if a property has been on the market for a while.
Stable Mortgage Environment: With rates stabilising, you can budget with more confidence without fearing a sudden spike.
Challenges for Buyers:
Higher Monthly Costs: Mortgage repayments are still significantly higher than they were two years ago. Ensure you stress-test your budget.
Deposit Hurdle: Saving for a deposit remains the biggest obstacle for first-time buyers.
Tip for Buyers: Get an Agreement in Principle (AIP) from a mortgage broker before you start viewing. It shows you’re a serious buyer and clarifies your budget.
Is 2024 a Good Time to Sell a House?
Selling requires a more strategic approach than in the past, but it is by no means a bad time.
The Advantages for Sellers:
Serious Buyers: Those viewing properties are likely to be serious, motivated, and often chain-free (e.g., first-time buyers).
Your Next Move: If you are selling to also buy in the same market, the price you pay for your next home will also be subject to negotiation, balancing out your sale.
Low Competition: With fewer new listings, your property can stand out more.
Challenges for Sellers:
Realistic Pricing is Key: Overpricing is the fastest way to have your property sit stagnant. Work with an agent who provides data-backed valuation, not just flattery.
Presentation Matters: To attract the best buyers, your property needs to be well-presented, photographed professionally, and marketed effectively.
Government Schemes for First-Time Buyers in 2024
Help is still available for those taking their first step onto the ladder:
Mortgage Guarantee Scheme: Helps buyers secure a 95% mortgage with a 5% deposit (extended to July 2025).
Help to Buy: ISA (Closed to new accounts): If you have one, continue benefiting from the government bonus.
Lifetime ISA (LISA): For those aged 18-39, you can save up to £4,000 a year towards a first home, with a 25% government bonus on top.
First Homes Scheme: Offers new homes at a 30-50% discount to local first-time buyers and key workers.
Final Verdict: Cautious Optimism
The UK housing market in 2024 is not about making a quick profit; it’s about making a sound long-term investment and finding a home.
If you find the right property at a price you can afford, and your personal circumstances are stable, it is a good time to buy.
If you price your property realistically and understand the market dynamics, it is a good time to sell.
The key to success this year is research, preparation, and flexibility. Partner with a quality local estate agent and an independent mortgage adviser who can guide you through the process with expert, personalised advice.